Normalized house-price indexes
First aligned observation = 100
Business analytics project · Spring 2026
Business question: How have Tennessee house prices performed relative to the United States, including growth, return consistency, and downside movement? The analysis uses aligned quarterly data and a common starting point for a transparent comparison—not investment advice.
Returns are based on consecutive aligned quarters. Volatility is the sample standard deviation of quarterly returns; maximum drawdown is the largest decline from a prior peak.
Normalization sets each series to 100 at the first shared observation, making relative movement comparable even when original index levels differ.
First aligned observation = 100
Percentage change from the prior aligned quarter
These statements update from the displayed dataset and describe the selected comparison period only.
| Quarter | TN index | U.S. index | TN normalized | U.S. normalized | TN return | U.S. return |
|---|
Wilfred’s role was to build the comparison, organize the data, calculate the measures, and present the results in a usable dashboard. The original project used Excel, Power Query, and the FRED API; this web demonstration uses HTML, CSS, and JavaScript.
Retrieve quarterly FHFA Tennessee and U.S. series through FRED, validate numeric values, and retain only identical dates.
Rebase both series to 100, calculate consecutive-quarter and four-quarter returns, CAGR, sample volatility, and maximum drawdown.
Place growth and downside measures alongside charts and recent observations to support a balanced market comparison.
A transparent workflow from data preparation through analysis and communication.
Data integration, validation, quarterly date alignment, and normalization.
Return calculations, compound growth, volatility analysis, and drawdown.
Visualization, documented methodology, clear limitations, and decision support.
Data source: U.S. Federal Housing Finance Agency, All-Transactions House Price Index for Tennessee (TNSTHPI) and the United States (USSTHPI), retrieved through FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Both are quarterly, not seasonally adjusted, and indexed to 1980 Q1 = 100. FRED data can be revised. The displayed cache is identified above and is never presented as live data.